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No typhoon in November; today is generally good

by Malou Talosig-Bartolome

IT’S Bonifacio Day, a holiday. For those who decided to go out of town — to the beaches or the mountains — you would probably have a field day with good weather.

“Malaking bahagi ng bansa natin ay patuloy na makakaranas ng maaliwalas na panahon,” Obet Badrina, weather specialist of Pagasa said.

But he said there are chances of rains and localized thunderstorms in Luzon and Visayas.

The probability of rains is higher in Leyte, Southern Leyte, Caraga and Davao regions due to the inter-Tropical Convergence Zones (ITCZ).

“Good news, wala tayong minomonitor na low-pressure area dito sa Philippine Area of Responsibility. Hanggang weekend, maliit ang tsansa na magkaroon tayo ng bagyo,” Badrina added.

No typhoon this November

An average of two or three typhoons enter PAR every November. This year, Badrino noted, the Philippines did not experience any typhoon.

November is supposedly dry season. But lately, most of the destructive typhoons hit the Philippines in November.

In 2013, Super Typhoon Yolanda, the strongest typhoon ever recorded on Earth unleashed its wrath in November.

In 2020, in the middle of the pandemic, two typhoons hit the Philippines. On November 6, Super typhoon Rolly, a Category 5 storm, claimed 25 lives and displaced 44,300 people mostly Catanduanes and Albay. A week later, Typhoon Ulysses also happened in November, affecting 25,000 people mostly in the Cagayan Valley region, .

Amihan and gale warning

With northeast monsoon or amihan expected to arrive tomorrow or Thursday, Pagasa is also monitoring strong gale winds that may affect northern Luzon.

“Posible po na magkaroon tayo ng gale warning sa mga susunod na araw,” Badrina said.

The northeast monsoon and La Niña

As winter approaches, the high pressure system over Siberia intensifies. Australia, on one hand, is experiencing summer with low pressure systems. These two systems increase the northeasterly flow over the east and south China seas, giving the cold surge in areas including the Philippines. 

State weather forecaster had earlier declared the start of Amihan season this year last October 20.

But lately, northeasterly winds have not been felt in the country, which contributed to the hot and humid weather. 

Pagasa warned though that with La Niña, Amihan “may be enhanced.”

Amihan and La Niña could trigger floods, flash floods, and rain-induced landslides over susceptible areas.

What is ITCZ and gale?

Meteorologists call the band of clouds that encircles the globe near the equator as ITCZ (pronounced as “itch”) where there are showers with occasional thunderstorms.

Gale is a wind that is stronger than a breeze, around 28-55 knots. Forecasters issue gale warnings when the forecasted winds range from 34-47 knots (63-87km). It helps mariners to take precaution to ensure their safety at sea or seek refuge to ride out the storm.

Visayas dayalekto

Ang Leyte ug ang Southern Leyte makasinati ug madag-umon na kalangitan na naay katag-katag na mga pag-ulan, pagpangilat ug pagpanugdog tungod sa ITCZ. Ang nahibiling bahin sa Visayas, Palawan lakip na ang Kalayaan Islands, ug ang Occidental Mindoro makasinati ng panagsang mapanganuron ngadto na sa madag-umon nga kalangitan inubanan sa pat-ak pat-ak na pag-ulan ug pagpanugdug-kilat tungod sa ITCZ / localized thunderstorms.

Hinay ngadto sa kasarangan nga paghuros sa hangin gikan sa Silangan ngadto sa Amihanang-silangan ang mupasulabi sa Visayas, Palawan lakip na ang Kalayaan Islands, ug Occidental Mindoro diin ang kadagatan magmalinawon ngadto na sa kasarangan ang pagbalud.

Mindanao dayalekto

Caraga ug ang Davao Region makasinati sa mapanganuron nga kalangitan inubanan sa katag-katag nga pag ulan ug panalugdog tungod sa ITCZ.  Samtang ang ubang dapit sa Mindanao makasinati sa panalagsang pagdag-um ngadto na sa mapananuron nga kalangitan inubanan sa patak-patak nga pag-ulan, kilat ug panalugdog tungod sa ITCZ. Hinay ngadto na sa kasarangan nga hangin nga magagikan sa amihanang silangan ngadto na sa silangang direksyon ug hapsay ngadto na sa kasarangan ang pagbalud sa kadagatan.

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