The seven-day positivity rate of COVID-19 infection in Metro Manila has decreased to 7.8 percent from 9.5 percent, OCTA research said on Wednesday.
In a Twitter post, OCTA research fellow Dr. Guido David said the coronavirus infection in the National Capital Region may even go down to less than 5 percent positivity rate by end of November 2022.
Positivity rate pertains to the percentage of all coronavirus tests performed that are actually positive. It is one of the indicators being considered by health authorities in monitoring and controlling the spread of coronavirus.
Epidemiologists also consider healthcare utilization rate or the capacity of the hospitals to treat COVID-19 patients. According to OCTA, healthcare utilization rate in NCR remained low at 26 percent.
The average daily attack rate in Metro Manila, meanwhile, stood at 1.54 per 100 thousand population as of November 8, with one week growth rate of -29 percent.
“The current trends, if they continue, could lead to less than 5% positivity rate and about 100 new cases per day in NCR by end of November,” said David.
On Tuesday, the Department of Health reported 694 additional COVID-19 cases, bringing the total coronavirus infections in the country to 4,011,625.
Nationwide hospital bed occupancy remained at low risk at 24.9 percent.